A new instrument
Cboe KPI contracts pay $1 if a reported number lands at or above the strike. Nobody has traded them before.
New from Cboe · 116 KPI contracts
The key numbers companies report are about to be tradable.
EPS, customers, revenue, bitcoin mined. We forecast each one from many sources and show how it hedges your stock.
- 23 companies, from EPS to hashrate
- Forecasts from many sources
- Hedges both ways
Be first in
One email when KPI Forecasts launches on iOS and Android.
Form not showing? Open it in a new tab. No spam. How your email is used · Education, not advice.
New for every trader. Be the one who’s ready.
The best forecast we can build
Many sources, one forecast per KPI, so you start with more than a trend line.
Hedges both ways
See whether a KPI contract would have hedged your stock on report day, and the reverse.
Forecasts
Every source we can get. One forecast.
SEC filings, alternative data and market data, combined for each KPI. Shown with a range, so you see the uncertainty too.
HOODSample layout · not a real forecast
Funded Customers · Q3 2026
Forecast
[FORECAST]
Range [LOW] – [HIGH]
- Sources
- [N] sources · filings, [ALT DATA], prices
- Last filed
- 28.4M · Q2 2026 · 8-K ↗
- Accuracy
- Median miss [X]% over [N] quarters
Q3 ’23 · filedQ3 ’26 · forecast
Hedge simulator
Hedge the stock with the KPI. Or the KPI with the stock.
Both react to the same filing. Here’s how they moved together for Robinhood.
| Quarter | Strike | Filed | Contract | HOOD next day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 ’26 ↗ † | 27.7M | 28.4M | Paid $1 | −3.6% |
| Q1 ’26 ↗ | 27.3M | 27.4M | Paid $1 | −13.2% |
| Q4 ’25 ↗ | 27.1M | 27.0M | Paid $0 | −8.9% |
| Q3 ’25 ↗ | 26.8M | 26.8M | Paid $1 | −10.8% |
| Q2 ’25 ↗ † | 26.1M | 26.5M | Paid $1 | −2.9% |
| Q1 ’25 ↗ † | 25.5M | 25.8M | Paid $1 | −5.1% |
| Q4 ’24 ↗ | 24.6M | 25.2M | Paid $1 | +14.1% |
| Q3 ’24 ↗ | 24.5M | 24.3M | Paid $0 | −16.7% |
| Q2 ’24 ↗ | 24.2M | 24.2M | Paid $1 | +3.6% |
| Q1 ’24 ↗ | 23.7M | 23.9M | Paid $1 | −3.1% |
| Q4 ’23 ↗ | 23.6M | 23.4M | Paid $0 | +13.0% |
† Funded Customers definition changed that quarter: TradePMR clients added from Q1 2025; Bitstamp customers added from Q2 2025; WonderFi customers added from Q2 2026 (per each 8-K).
Strikes follow a fixed illustrative rule, not Cboe-listed strikes. KPI contracts are new, so no historical contract prices exist. Stock move: adjusted close on the 8-K date to the next trading day's close. Prices: Intrinio.
Any results shown are illustrative or historical, are not a promise of future outcomes, and do not reflect any specific user's experience. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Start with what was reported
Three of 116 KPIs. Every value links to its SEC filing.
HOODmillions
Funded Customers
28.4MQ2 2026
Q3 ’23Q2 ’26
† definition changed (acquisitions added)
8-K · 2026-07-29 ↗
COIN$ millions
Transaction Revenue
$599MQ2 2026
Q3 ’23Q2 ’26
8-K · 2026-07-30 ↗
MARABTC
BTC Produced
2,422 BTCQ2 2026
Q3 ’23Q2 ’26
Bitcoin halving in April 2024 (per MARA's Q2 2024 8-K)
8-K · 2026-08-06 ↗
Questions
What are KPI contracts?
Cboe binary options that pay $1 if a company’s reported KPI lands at or above the strike. Robinhood calls them earnings contracts. Options approval required.
When do they launch?
Cboe hasn’t set a date. You get one email when KPI Forecasts launches.
Where do forecasts come from?
SEC filings, alternative data and market data, combined for each KPI.
What does it cost?
Filing history is free. Forecasts and the hedge simulator are paid. Prices are set at launch.
Is this advice?
No. We forecast company numbers. We don’t tell you what to trade.
Be ready when KPI contracts launch.
One email when we launch.